Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000719 0.000748 0.000778 0.000810 0.000844 0.000880 0.000919
2025-10-26 0.000657 0.000699 0.000743 0.000793 0.000847 0.000906 0.000973
2025-11-02 0.000620 0.000671 0.000727 0.000791 0.000864 0.000945 0.001041
2025-11-09 0.000583 0.000641 0.000705 0.000780 0.000867 0.000966 0.001088
2025-11-16 0.000554 0.000616 0.000686 0.000770 0.000870 0.000986 0.001132
2025-11-23 0.000541 0.000609 0.000686 0.000781 0.000896 0.001033 0.001210
2025-11-30 0.000525 0.000597 0.000679 0.000783 0.000910 0.001065 0.001271
2025-12-07 0.000505 0.000578 0.000664 0.000773 0.000909 0.001078 0.001307
2025-12-14 0.000485 0.000560 0.000648 0.000762 0.000906 0.001087 0.001337
2025-12-21 0.000470 0.000546 0.000637 0.000754 0.000906 0.001100 0.001373
2025-12-28 0.000445 0.000519 0.000608 0.000725 0.000877 0.001073 0.001353
2026-01-04 0.000432 0.000507 0.000597 0.000717 0.000875 0.001082 0.001381
2026-01-11 0.000420 0.000496 0.000589 0.000713 0.000879 0.001099 0.001424
2026-01-18 0.000408 0.000485 0.000579 0.000706 0.000878 0.001109 0.001457
2026-01-25 0.000401 0.000479 0.000576 0.000708 0.000889 0.001137 0.001517
2026-02-01 0.000390 0.000468 0.000565 0.000700 0.000886 0.001143 0.001545
2026-02-08 0.000379 0.000457 0.000555 0.000692 0.000883 0.001150 0.001574
2026-02-15 0.000376 0.000456 0.000558 0.000702 0.000904 0.001193 0.001661
2026-02-22 0.000371 0.000452 0.000556 0.000703 0.000915 0.001220 0.001724
2026-03-01 0.000361 0.000442 0.000546 0.000695 0.000910 0.001224 0.001749
2026-03-08 0.000352 0.000432 0.000536 0.000685 0.000903 0.001224 0.001769
2026-03-15 0.000344 0.000424 0.000528 0.000679 0.000901 0.001231 0.001800
2026-03-22 0.000330 0.000407 0.000508 0.000654 0.000869 0.001192 0.001751